monthly comment february

MONTHLY COMMENT FEBRUARY

Mar 1, 2023

After a strong January, the capital markets showed their volatile side in February. The first half of the month saw a continuation of the positive start to the year, although the pace of increase slowed significantly. In the second half of the month, prices slipped again due to recession risks. Europe (EuroStoxx 50) closed in positive territory (+1.94%) thanks to a bank overweight. The US markets, on the other hand, ended in the red (S&P500: -2.45%).

Overall, the latest macroeconomic developments are positive. The global economy is performing better than expected, an energy crisis has failed to materialize and inflation has peaked. To be sure, uncertainty about the key factors for the capital market year 2023 has not yet completely disappeared, as is also shown by the cautious outlooks of companies during the reporting season. But: The trends are pointing in the right direction. So time continues to work in favor of risk assets.

The most important factor for the development of international stock indices remains the policy of the U.S. Federal Reserve. Here, the stock market is looking at the two decisive factors, the U.S. labor market and U.S. inflation. Both factors argue against a change of course in the braking policy in the near future. Accordingly, Fed President Powell made it clear that there would be several more interest rate hikes and that a rate cut in 2023 was out of the question. As a result, the stock markets were more volatile. VIX and VSTOXX rose by around 6 percent over the month.

The Premium Income fund was able to continue its positive trend in this mixed situation and posted a gain of +0.70 percent. This brings the performance since the beginning of the year to +2.12 percent. The losses from the previous year have almost been recouped. The PutWriting strategy and the Relative Value component recorded significant gains. The purchased calls on companies such as Infineon, Salesforce, Nvidia, Rivian and Lucid ended clearly in the plus.

Tarek Saffaf

Fund advisor

fund structures by asset classes
Bonds 81.74%
Fixed Term- & Time Deposits / Loans 8.94%
Cash 10.41%
Cross Currency Futures 0.45%
Options 0.07%
Other Claims / Liabilities -0.55%
Equity-Index Options -1.06%

As at: February 2023
Source: Universal-Investment-Gesellschaft mbH

Currency structures incl. derivates

As at: February 2023
Source: Universal-Investment-Gesellschaft mbH

Fixed Income by country

As at: February 2023
Source: Universal-Investment-Gesellschaft mbH
Ratios based on fund assets
 

Coupon 1.37%
Yield 3.23%
Duration Weighted Yield 3.05
Earnings Yield 1.51%
Maturity Date (due date) 0.70
Macaulay Duration (due date) 0.70
Modified Duration 0.68%
Effective Duration 0.68%
Fixed Income Rating AA+

As at: February 2023
Source: Universal-Investment-Gesellschaft mbH

performance

As at: February 2023
Source: Bloomberg
Historical performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
Performance according to BVI method, i.e. without taking into account the front-end load. Costs incurred at fund level (e.g. management fee) have been taken into account. Costs incurred individually at customer level (e.g. custody account fees, commissions and other charges) have not been included in the presentation and would have a negative impact on performance if included. Custody account fees can be found in your bank’s list of prices and services. The benchmark index is for information purposes only and does not constitute an obligation on the part of the fund manager to replicate or match the index or its performance.

Disclaimer

This document is intended exclusively for clients in the client group “Professional Clients” pursuant to section 67 (2) WpHG and / or “Eligible Counterparties” pursuant to section 67 (4) WpHG and is not intended for private clients. It is not intended for distribution to private customers. It serves information purposes only and does not constitute an investment strategy recommendation within the meaning of Article 3 (1) No. 34 of Regulation (EU) No. 596/2014 or an investment recommendation within the meaning of Article 3 (1) No. 35 of Regulation (EU) No. 596/2014 or an investment recommendation or invitation to buy or sell financial instruments within the meaning of Section 2 (8) No. 10 WpHG. Historical performance does not allow conclusions to be drawn about similar developments in the future. These cannot be predicted. The sole basis for the acquisition of units is the sales documentation for the investment fund. All data provided are subject to review by the auditors at the respective reporting dates. The statements are based on our assessment of the current legal and tax situation. Renell Wertpapierhandelsbank AG does not assume any liability for the accuracy of the information provided herein. Subject to change without notice.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.